Overnight, the Tories have lost credibility when it comes to manifesto pledges, along with their reputation for economic competence and low taxation
I thought it was the weather that would do for that Test cricket match, as gambling on five dry days in Manchester in September was always a risk.
But a combination of Covid and greed killed it and the prospect of a weekend where we could pretend it was still summer has gone.
Autumn is well and truly here, season of mists, mellow fruitfulness, dead alpacas and politics back in full swing.
The social care funding disaster has pushed Labour into a poll lead for the first time in a long time.
A narrow one, mind, but a triumph for those strategists who reckoned doing nothing and letting the Tories implode was the way forward.
(In fact, that’s not true. Labour has done a lot. Apparently, 200-odd policy announcements since Mr Starmer took over. No, me neither.)
Do you agree? Have your say in the comment section
Labour’s lead is interesting, with the Reform UK party – formerly Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party – giving the Tories a worrying attack on their right flank.
But it’s the effect of the social care move that has done all the damage.
Overnight, the Tories lost credibility when it comes to manifesto pledges, and their reputation for economic competence and low taxation.
There are a handful of people on the planet who would argue against the very richest footing the bill for social care and health.
Billionaires who probably wouldn’t even notice, or even mind, paying a bit more unless you tried to take their spaceships off them.
Instead, the rest of us will foot the bill. Most will be OK. But there are 2.5 million households clobbered by this and the Universal Credit freeze.
These are working families, losing out on £1,170 next year, when they are barely holding it together.
More off to food banks and more hungry kids.
This is the Tory way – hit the weakest. Even Tory grandees recognise it as disgraceful. Some red-wall Tories called it suicidal.
It depends. There is still a long way to go be before an election.
And I worry what people will put up with. For example, the first time the Tories broke their manifesto promises was in June, when they ditched the international aid commitment.
People shrugged because although it meant people dying, it was only little kids who lived a long way away.
This time it’s happening here – but it’s not happening to you, so who cares?
Well, you see, what this does is let them do it tomorrow, and tomorrow, and tomorrow. Next time, it’s going to be pensioners. After that, who knows?
These people have no limits. There are no targets out of bounds. This is a brutal outfit, interested in nothing more than self-preservation and a quick buck.
They are not the people you want in charge when the NHS starts creaking and supermarket shelves are empty.
How did we end up here? How do we get out of this mess?
A Foreign Secretary who is only in it for the holidays, an Education Secretary who can’t spell GCSE and a Home Secretary whose flagship policy is to let more kids drown.
Surely that’s got to be too much for some people? Even the most deluded red-wall voters, the most committed, pain-addicted masochists must have a safe word: enough.